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Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid
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Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid
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Old 16th April 2008, 14:32   #1
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Default Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid

A German schoolboy, Nico Marquardt, has revised NASA's figures for the chances that the Apophis asteroid will hit earth. Apparently if the asteroid hits a satellite in 2029, its path could be diverted enough to cause it to collide with Earth on the next orbit, in 2036. NASA had calculated the chances as 1 in 45,000 but the 13-year-old, in his science project, made it 1 in 450. NASA agreed

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5...vcC5GvbjD4MIOQ
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Old 16th April 2008, 14:47   #2
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Cool ... Nasa got owned.

Not so cool ... an asteroid might hit earth.
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Old 16th April 2008, 17:23   #3
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we just send some oil miners up there to detonate a nuke in the center of the asteroid ...

Funny that yet again we are the cause of the problem
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Old 16th April 2008, 17:27   #4
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if it doesn't hit Earth the first time, then there is a possibility that it might hit it the second time. If it doesn't hit the second time then maybe third time, and if ...
I'm looking forward to meet the Asteroid non-the-less.
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Old 16th April 2008, 22:22   #5
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Actually, this seems rather unlikely even with the new consideration? The ISS orbits <400km, most satellites are nowhere near 30,000-35,000km.
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Old 16th April 2008, 23:28   #6
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Around 1200 so I've red.
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Old 16th April 2008, 23:55   #7
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Hm, not a bad percentage out of 40,000 tracked objects then. Rather big oversight on NASA's part to not take it into consideration too.
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