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|16th April 2008, 13:32||#1|
Join Date: May 2002
Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid
A German schoolboy, Nico Marquardt, has revised NASA's figures for the chances that the Apophis asteroid will hit earth. Apparently if the asteroid hits a satellite in 2029, its path could be diverted enough to cause it to collide with Earth on the next orbit, in 2036. NASA had calculated the chances as 1 in 45,000 but the 13-year-old, in his science project, made it 1 in 450. NASA agreed
|16th April 2008, 16:27||#4|
Join Date: Nov 2004
if it doesn't hit Earth the first time, then there is a possibility that it might hit it the second time. If it doesn't hit the second time then maybe third time, and if ...
I'm looking forward to meet the Asteroid non-the-less.
|16th April 2008, 21:22||#5|
Join Date: Jun 2006
Actually, this seems rather unlikely even with the new consideration? The ISS orbits <400km, most satellites are nowhere near 30,000-35,000km.
|16th April 2008, 22:55||#7|
Join Date: Jun 2006
Hm, not a bad percentage out of 40,000 tracked objects then. Rather big oversight on NASA's part to not take it into consideration too.
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