Stefan Mileschin

A market research company said that vendors fond hopes of the notebook recovering are likely to be dashed.

Trendforce said notebook shipments will fall “significantly” this year. Vendors still have warehouses full of notebook which they haven’t been able to shift.

Trendforce estimates that the total notebook shipments in 2015 will amount to about 164.4 million units.

That’s a fall of 6.4 percent year on year.

But Trendforce analyst Anita Wang said 2016 is likely to be better. “This year has been extraordinarily tough for the notebook market. However shipments will recover in 2016, when more branded vendors will be entering the market, including Xiaomi and Huawei.”

But it’s a glimmer of hope only, because Wang said total notebook shipments will only be up by one point compared to this year.

Tablet shipments are in an even more parlous state, she said. Demand “has become soft” and there are no new features while smartphones are increasingly replacing tablets.

Trendforce estimates that 16.4 million units, a decline of 14.9 percent compared to last year.

There appear to be no glimmers of light at the end of the tablet tunnel, she said. She thinks next year will show a continued decline in tablet shipments.

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