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-   -   Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid (https://www.madshrimps.be/vbulletin/f22/schoolboy-corrects-nasa-s-math-killer-asteroid-43664/)

jmke 16th April 2008 13:32

Schoolboy Corrects NASA's Math On Killer Asteroid
 
A German schoolboy, Nico Marquardt, has revised NASA's figures for the chances that the Apophis asteroid will hit earth. Apparently if the asteroid hits a satellite in 2029, its path could be diverted enough to cause it to collide with Earth on the next orbit, in 2036. NASA had calculated the chances as 1 in 45,000 but the 13-year-old, in his science project, made it 1 in 450. NASA agreed

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5...vcC5GvbjD4MIOQ

Massman 16th April 2008 13:47

Cool ... Nasa got owned.

Not so cool ... an asteroid might hit earth.

wutske 16th April 2008 16:23

we just send some oil miners up there to detonate a nuke in the center of the asteroid ... :D

Funny that yet again we are the cause of the problem :rolleyes:

geoffrey 16th April 2008 16:27

if it doesn't hit Earth the first time, then there is a possibility that it might hit it the second time. If it doesn't hit the second time then maybe third time, and if ... :)
I'm looking forward to meet the Asteroid non-the-less.

Kougar 16th April 2008 21:22

Actually, this seems rather unlikely even with the new consideration? The ISS orbits <400km, most satellites are nowhere near 30,000-35,000km.

geoffrey 16th April 2008 22:28

Around 1200 so I've red.

Kougar 16th April 2008 22:55

Hm, not a bad percentage out of 40,000 tracked objects then. Rather big oversight on NASA's part to not take it into consideration too.


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