The Internet of tomorrow: 100Gbps to your house by 2030

jmke · 10th March 2010, 09:56

Google's recent announcement of a 1Gbps fiber-to-the-home testbed has communities across the US salivating—but imagine what the Internet might be like if that connection to your home were even faster. Say... 100Gbps. In less than 20 years, such speeds will be possible, but only for companies who installed the right sort of fiber architecture.

The UK telecoms regulator Ofcom commissioned a lengthy report on the future of fiber (PDF) (or "fibre," in this case) from the firm Analysys Mason. In it, the company sketched out the future of fiber capacity with a pair of handy charts. Both are clear: between 2025 and 2030, shared fiber tech will be able to offer 10Gpbs to each user; individual fiber can offer a full 100Gbps. Whether ISPs will support it or not is a separate question.

http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/n...campaig n=rss

jmke · 10th March 2010, 09:56

LOL, and we're discussing 100Mbps 100Mbps broadband may be closer than you think

thorgal · 10th March 2010, 13:15

2030 is 20 years away. I think it's a rather conservative projection if you look at where we were in 1990...

I actually started my internet experience at KUL in 1991, that was even before any households were on the net. It was the time of the 600 baud modems, giving you a whopping 1200 bit/s speed (increased year after year of course). 1200 bit/s is about 150 bytes/s, or about 0,15 kB/s (if my math isn't off). Compared to my ADSL line today (20Mbit or about 2560 kB/s) the speed increase is about 17.534. That's right : seventeen thousand times as fast.

I hope w'll do better in 2030

jmke · 10th March 2010, 13:26

as with everything IT, there is stagnation, if you compare for example CPU speed increase of 1990->2000 vs 2000->2010 you'll see that the curve is flattening.

geoffrey · 10th March 2010, 17:28

in mhz, performance on the other hand...

@ Thorgal, when you're close to tel.central it is the only way to achieve 20Mbit ADSL, for me however nearly nothing has changed for the last 7 years. Maybe we'll have super fast wireless connections by then

thorgal · 10th March 2010, 17:46

You should ask for a switch to VDSL, signal fall with increased ranch is much better (less) compared to ADSL2 and we actually achieve about 18.5 Mbit throughput at the office (with vdsl).

geoffrey · 10th March 2010, 18:31

particulier verkrijgbaar?

thorgal · 10th March 2010, 19:03

Quote:

Originally Posted by geoffrey

particulier verkrijgbaar?

Yep, geen probleem : gewoon vragen naar de bbox2, is allemaal VDSL. Normaal gezien zullen ze het zelfs zelf voorstellen als je belt om te vragen naar een speed increase. Bij Belgacom nu zelfs gratis switch naar vdsl (met gratis wifi modem)...

geoffrey · 10th March 2010, 20:17

Idd, was er al min of meer van op de hoogte maar heb het tot nu toe nog niet teruggevonden op hun site als abonnement optie o.i.d. want ik kan me voorstellen dat natuurlijk dit weer een argument is om de prijs te doen stijgen terwijl me nu al 20Mbit tussen haakjes wordt beloofd.

geoffrey · 13th March 2010, 12:51

jup, blijkbaar trekken ze ne optische vezels tot in de wijkkast wat de afstand over telefoondraad drastisch verkort voor meeste mensen. naar shop geweest en bij m'n vraag ofdat vdsl2 mogelijk was werd er meteen een technieker geregeld voor volgende week, ik moest niet eens "ja" zeggen, beetje raar ma goed speed increase en nen gratis modem met dezelfde functies als m'n huidige volgens de madam aan de kassa dusja das prima voor mij. Technieker moet wel komen omdat die laswerken moet uitvoeren in de kast en wss meteen de splitters heraansluit bij ons thuis of zoiets.

naar het schijnt kan je zelf controleren ofdat vdsl2 reeds bij u beschikbaar is door naar de site van belgacom te gaan en te kijken ofdat het mogelijk is om meerdere dvb boxen van belgacom aant te sluiten, maar het is altijd beste gewoon belgacom zelf dit te laten controleren zo zeggen ze zelf, zo zijn ze 100% zeker.

10th March 2010, 09:56	#1
jmke Madshrimp Join Date: May 2002 Location: 7090/Belgium Posts: 79,021	The Internet of tomorrow: 100Gbps to your house by 2030 Google's recent announcement of a 1Gbps fiber-to-the-home testbed has communities across the US salivating—but imagine what the Internet might be like if that connection to your home were even faster. Say... 100Gbps. In less than 20 years, such speeds will be possible, but only for companies who installed the right sort of fiber architecture. The UK telecoms regulator Ofcom commissioned a lengthy report on the future of fiber (PDF) (or "fibre," in this case) from the firm Analysys Mason. In it, the company sketched out the future of fiber capacity with a pair of handy charts. Both are clear: between 2025 and 2030, shared fiber tech will be able to offer 10Gpbs to each user; individual fiber can offer a full 100Gbps. Whether ISPs will support it or not is a separate question. http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/n...campaig n=rss __________________

10th March 2010, 09:56	#2
jmke Madshrimp Join Date: May 2002 Location: 7090/Belgium Posts: 79,021	LOL, and we're discussing 100Mbps 100Mbps broadband may be closer than you think __________________

10th March 2010, 13:15	#3
thorgal [M] Reviewer Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1,887	2030 is 20 years away. I think it's a rather conservative projection if you look at where we were in 1990... I actually started my internet experience at KUL in 1991, that was even before any households were on the net. It was the time of the 600 baud modems, giving you a whopping 1200 bit/s speed (increased year after year of course). 1200 bit/s is about 150 bytes/s, or about 0,15 kB/s (if my math isn't off). Compared to my ADSL line today (20Mbit or about 2560 kB/s) the speed increase is about 17.534. That's right : seventeen thousand times as fast. I hope w'll do better in 2030 __________________

10th March 2010, 13:26	#4
jmke Madshrimp Join Date: May 2002 Location: 7090/Belgium Posts: 79,021	as with everything IT, there is stagnation, if you compare for example CPU speed increase of 1990->2000 vs 2000->2010 you'll see that the curve is flattening. __________________

10th March 2010, 17:28	#5
geoffrey [M] Reviewer Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,127	in mhz, performance on the other hand... @ Thorgal, when you're close to tel.central it is the only way to achieve 20Mbit ADSL, for me however nearly nothing has changed for the last 7 years. Maybe we'll have super fast wireless connections by then __________________

10th March 2010, 17:46	#6
thorgal [M] Reviewer Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1,887	You should ask for a switch to VDSL, signal fall with increased ranch is much better (less) compared to ADSL2 and we actually achieve about 18.5 Mbit throughput at the office (with vdsl). __________________ Last edited by thorgal : 10th March 2010 at 18:21.

10th March 2010, 18:31	#7
geoffrey [M] Reviewer Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,127	particulier verkrijgbaar? __________________

10th March 2010, 20:17	#9
geoffrey [M] Reviewer Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,127	Idd, was er al min of meer van op de hoogte maar heb het tot nu toe nog niet teruggevonden op hun site als abonnement optie o.i.d. want ik kan me voorstellen dat natuurlijk dit weer een argument is om de prijs te doen stijgen terwijl me nu al 20Mbit tussen haakjes wordt beloofd. __________________

13th March 2010, 12:51	#10
geoffrey [M] Reviewer Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,127	jup, blijkbaar trekken ze ne optische vezels tot in de wijkkast wat de afstand over telefoondraad drastisch verkort voor meeste mensen. naar shop geweest en bij m'n vraag ofdat vdsl2 mogelijk was werd er meteen een technieker geregeld voor volgende week, ik moest niet eens "ja" zeggen, beetje raar ma goed speed increase en nen gratis modem met dezelfde functies als m'n huidige volgens de madam aan de kassa dusja das prima voor mij. Technieker moet wel komen omdat die laswerken moet uitvoeren in de kast en wss meteen de splitters heraansluit bij ons thuis of zoiets. naar het schijnt kan je zelf controleren ofdat vdsl2 reeds bij u beschikbaar is door naar de site van belgacom te gaan en te kijken ofdat het mogelijk is om meerdere dvb boxen van belgacom aant te sluiten, maar het is altijd beste gewoon belgacom zelf dit te laten controleren zo zeggen ze zelf, zo zijn ze 100% zeker. __________________

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